Trevon Brazile
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
80%4 of 5L5
Over 5.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 5 games (2 of 2 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.1–18.5 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L5 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 8.8
- +3.3 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 4 of 5
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −164
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −164, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4401 book | — | 5/5 | |
| −2504 books | — | 5/5 | |
| −2022 books | +1901 book | 4/5 | |
| −1126 books | −1205 books | 4/5 | |
| +1403 books | −1522 books | 2/5 | |
| +1756 books | −1701 book | 2/5 | |
| +2222 books | −2451 book | 2/5 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel25 hr ago | +100Best | −128 |
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | −112 | — |
| betPARX25 hr ago | −112 | −120 |
| BetRivers25 hr ago | −113 | −121 |
| DraftKings25 hr ago | −126 | −101 |
| Bovada25 hr ago | −165 | +125Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.