Tre Johnson

Washington Wizards · G · #12

ATL @ WSH · Live

Over Under0.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Steals hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at GS, 2026-03-27: 0, hit, 22 min
at LAL, 2026-03-30: 2, missed, 23 min
vs PHI, 2026-04-01: 0, hit, 24 min
at MIA, 2026-04-04: 0, hit, 25 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 23 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 13 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–1 steals.

What's different yesterday

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 17 of 30; with him: 21 of 36 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 15 of 32; with him: 21 of 31 (63 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ATL allow 3.6 steals a game to guards: 24th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 24 (60 games)

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Steals: 1 in 20 min, Feb 26 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −171

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 0.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −171.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1151 book	pick'em only	7/10
	+5251 book	—	9/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet17 hr ago	+115Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Tre Johnson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.