Tre Johnson

Washington Wizards · G · #12

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1732 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
ATL allow 5.0 threes made a game to guards: the fewest of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 15 of 30; with him: 14 of 36 (66 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 12 of 32; with him: 17 of 31 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 24 (60 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at GS, 2026-03-27: 1, hit, 22 min
at LAL, 2026-03-30: 1, hit, 23 min
vs PHI, 2026-04-01: 2, missed, 24 min
at MIA, 2026-04-04: 1, hit, 25 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 23 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 13 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 20 min, Feb 26 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −173
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3902 books	—	3/10
+1202 books	−1732 books	7/10
+3762 books	—	9/10
+10002 books	—	9/10
+22001 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+120	−160Best
DraftKings9 min ago	+131Best	−173
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Tre Johnson's full game log and splits