Toumani Camara
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
69%9 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 9 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.6–7.3 rebounds.
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 27 of 39; with him: 40 of 55 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Over 3.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 0 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
LAL allow 18.1 rebounds a game to forwards: 21st most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.8 min · 2025–26: 33.3 (87 games)
Splits
Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Rebounds: 1 in 24 min, Oct 27 (away)
Over 3.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 69%
- 9 of 13
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −149 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14303 books | — | 12/13 | |
| −3455 books | — | 10/13 | |
| −1507 books | +1136 books | 9/13 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/13 | |
| +1325 books | −1801 book | 5/13 | |
| +2455 books | — | 2/13 | |
| +4305 books | — | 2/13 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | −149Best | +113 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −150 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −150 | +110 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −150 | +110 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −150 | +115 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −154 | +116 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −158 | +118Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: −154 → −150 since first seen


