Toumani Camara
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Under 1.5
69%9 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 1.5 Assists hit in 9 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 assists.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 1.5 in 16 of 39.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 16 of 39; with him: 16 of 55 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 1.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 3 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
LAL allow 8.3 assists a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.8 min · 2025–26: 33.3 (87 games)
Splits
Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Assists: 1 in 24 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.5
- +0 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 69%
- 9 of 13
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5502 books | — | 3/13 | |
| −1067 books | −1255 books | 9/13 | |
| +2706 books | — | 10/13 | |
| +6505 books | — | 12/13 | |
| +14002 books | — | 12/13 | |
| +45001 book | — | 13/13 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | −108 | −125Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −108 | −125Best |
| Bovada1 min ago | −105 | −125Best |
| Pinnacle1 min ago | −106 | −125Best |
| DraftKings1 min ago | +101Best | −133 |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | −108 | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −106 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under: −128 → −125 since first seen


