Tari Eason

Houston Rockets · F · #17

MIN @ HOU · Live

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 24, cleared, 31 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 21, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 3 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 18, cleared, 27 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 22, cleared, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 23, cleared, 33 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 15, missed, 31 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 26, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 13, missed, 19 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 20, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 9.6–29 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 16.5 without him: 34 of 56; with him: 10 of 18 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 59.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Pts+Reb+Ast: 1 in 24 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 16.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 18.5; +2 vs line
Median: 20.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −108 the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9401 book	—	9/10
−1831 book	—	8/10
−1081 book	−1211 book	7/10
+1911 book	—	6/10
+5861 book	—	1/10
+15801 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
DraftKings8 hr ago	−108Best	−121Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−102 → −108 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Tari Eason's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:43 PM ET.