Tari Eason
MIN @ HOU · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–4 steals+blocks.
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 31 of 56; with him: 9 of 18 (74 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
MIN 7th, HOU 29th of 30
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Steals+Blocks: 2 in 24 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −143
- Books’ fair
- —
- no Under posted
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −159
Research, not a pick. At −143 the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −6251 book | 10/10 | |
| −1431 book | 7/10 | |
| +2001 book | 5/10 | |
| +4501 book | 2/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 hr ago | −143Best |
Prices as of 8:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: No move since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 8:43 PM ET.


