Tari Eason
MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PMGame log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 25 of 56; with him: 10 of 18 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 2.6 blocks a game to forwards: 6th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Blocks: 1 in 24 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1323 books | −1031 book | 7/10 | |
| +3503 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −132Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −132Best | −103Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −132Best | — |
Prices as of 7:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: No move since first seen


