Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · #5

DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under5.5

Under 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1467 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
DAL allow 14.1 rebounds a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2025–26: 30.8 (92 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH
Game lines
SA −11.5 · total 227.5 (8 sportsbooks)
SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Under 5.5 Rebounds hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-06-08: 5, hit, 38 min
at NY, 2026-06-10: 5, hit, 26 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 5, hit, 32 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 7, missed, 28 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 7, missed, 33 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 4, hit, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 5, hit, 27 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 6, missed, 38 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 5, hit, 22 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 5, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.1–8.7 rebounds.

Splits

Under 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 5.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
De'Aaron FoxG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Rebounds: 4 in 28 min, Oct 24 (away)

Under 5.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 5.5

Average: 5.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 5; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −146
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −136 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11002 books	—	0/10
−3855 books	—	0/10
−1662 books	+1101 book	1/10
+1107 books	−1466 books	7/10
+1982 books	—	8/10
+2955 books	—	10/10
+5771 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
betPARX4 min ago	+102	−136Best
BetRivers4 min ago	+100	−137
DraftKings12 min ago	+110	−145
FanDuel3 min ago	+110	−146
Pinnacle12 min ago	+114	−152
Bovada12 min ago	+130Best	−170
Bally Bet12 min ago	+100	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

−152 → −146 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Stephon Castle's full game log and splits