Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · #5

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under22.5

Under 22.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1232 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2025–26: 30.8 (92 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH
Game lines
SA −11.5 · total 226.5 (9 sportsbooks)
SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
DAL 20th, SA 9th of 30

70%7 of 10L10

Under 22.5 Pts+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-06-08: 28, missed, 38 min
at NY, 2026-06-10: 18, hit, 26 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 10, hit, 32 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 25, missed, 28 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 20, hit, 33 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 27, missed, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 20, hit, 27 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 22, hit, 38 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 4, hit, 22 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 20, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 12.1–28.9 pts+ast.

Splits

Under 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 22.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
De'Aaron FoxG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Pts+Ast: 27 in 28 min, Oct 24 (away)

Under 22.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 22.5

Average: 19.4; −3.1 vs line
Median: 20; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −123
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −116 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−32001 book	—	1/10
−6401 book	—	2/10
−2091 book	—	3/10
−1072 books	−1232 books	7/10
+1301 book	—	7/10
+3401 book	—	10/10
+8701 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
DraftKings18 min ago	−113	−116Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−102Best	−130
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

−130 → −123 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Stephon Castle's full game log and splits