Stephen Curry
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
38%6 of 16L20 · Without Butler
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of 16 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 6 of 16; with him: 16 of 34 (50 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 1 of 3 (10 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 16 of 38 (50 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIA allow 18.1 rebounds a game to guards: 5th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L20Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Rebounds: 3 in 28 min, Jan 19 (home)
Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record
L20 · Without Butler · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 38%
- 6 of 16
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.2
- 16 games · 31 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7704 books | — | 14/16 | |
| −2505 books | — | 10/16 | |
| −1147 books | −1146 books | 6/16 | |
| +1885 books | −2201 book | 4/16 | |
| +3505 books | — | 3/16 | |
| +6005 books | — | 1/16 | |
| +13002 books | — | 1/16 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −109Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114 | −114 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114 | −114 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −120 | −110 |
| Bovada10 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: No move since first seen


