Stephen Curry
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 30.5
31%5 of 16L20 · Without Butler
Over 30.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of 16 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 30.5 without him: 5 of 16; with him: 17 of 34 (50 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 30.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 1 of 3 (10 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 30.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 17 of 38 (50 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2025–26: 31 (43 games)
Splits
Over 30.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 30.5 · L20Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Pts+Reb: 22 in 28 min, Jan 19 (home)
Over 30.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIA on record
L20 · Without Butler · Over 30.5
- Average
- 28.8
- −1.7 vs line
- Median
- 27.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 31%
- 5 of 16
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.2
- 16 games · 31 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 30.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16002 books | — | 13/16 | |
| −3355 books | — | 11/16 | |
| −1435 books | +1201 book | 6/16 | |
| −1224 books | −1102 books | 5/16 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/16 | |
| −1083 books | −1223 books | 4/16 | |
| +1485 books | — | 4/16 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 30.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 30.5 | Under 30.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −122Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −122Best | −110 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −122Best | — |
| Bovada2 min ago | −130 | +100Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
30.529.5 → 30.5 since first seen


