Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · #30

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under27.5

Over 27.5 Points, typical price −1127 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

31%5 of 16L20 · Without Butler

Over 27.5 Points cleared in 5 of 16 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

vs ATL, 2026-01-11: 31, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-01-13: 7, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-01-15: 27, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs CHA, 2026-01-17: 14, missed, 30 min
vs MIA, 2026-01-19: 19, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-01-20: 16, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-01-22: 38, cleared, 34 min
at MIN, 2026-01-25: 26, missed, 28 min
at UTAH, 2026-01-28: 27, missed, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-01-30: 23, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 29, cleared, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 17, missed, 25 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 11, missed, 27 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 24, missed, 29 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 23, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 24, missed, 30 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 24, missed, 27 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 44, cleared, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 31, cleared, 31 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 34, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 27.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 27.5 without him: 5 of 16; with him: 15 of 34 (50 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 69.0 points a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 27.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 1 of 3 (10 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 27.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 15 of 38 (50 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 27.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 27.5 · L20

Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Points: 19 in 28 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 27.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 27.5

Average: 25.3; −2.2 vs line
Median: 24; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 31%; 5 of 16
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.2; 16 games · 31 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 27.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2003 books	+1501 book	7/16
−1554 books	+1251 book	7/16
−1304 books	−1043 books	6/16
−1127 books	−1164 books	5/16
+1101 book	−1451 book	5/16
+1256 books	−1701 book	4/16
+1551 book	−2101 book	4/16

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 27.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 27.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 27.5	Under 27.5
Bovada5 min ago	−110Best	−120
DraftKings5 min ago	−110Best	−116
Bally Bet5 min ago	−112	—
betPARX1 min ago	−112	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−112	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−114	−114
Pinnacle5 min ago	−124	−107Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

27.5

25.5 → 27.5 since first seen

Stephen Curry's full game log and splits