Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · #30

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1287 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

38%6 of 16L20 · Without Butler

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 6 of 16 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

vs ATL, 2026-01-11: 5, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-01-13: 11, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-01-15: 7, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs CHA, 2026-01-17: 5, cleared, 30 min
vs MIA, 2026-01-19: 11, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-01-20: 3, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-01-22: 1, missed, 34 min
at MIN, 2026-01-25: 7, cleared, 28 min
at UTAH, 2026-01-28: 2, missed, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-01-30: 2, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 4, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 2, missed, 25 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 5, cleared, 27 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 3, missed, 29 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 30 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 27 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared, 31 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 7, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 6 of 16; with him: 18 of 34 (50 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 18.3 assists a game to guards: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 4.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 1 of 3 (10 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 19 of 38 (50 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L20

Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Assists: 11 in 28 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 4.5

Average: 3.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 3.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 38%; 6 of 16
Price implies: 56%; at −128
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.2; 16 games · 31 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−40001 book	—	14/16
−7155 books	—	11/16
−2655 books	—	8/16
−1287 books	−1046 books	6/16
+1556 books	−1901 book	4/16
+2805 books	—	2/16
+4805 books	—	0/16

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet1 min ago	−125Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−125Best	−108
BetRivers1 min ago	−125Best	−108
FanDuel2 min ago	−128	−104
Pinnacle2 min ago	−128	−103
Bovada1 min ago	−135	+105Best
DraftKings2 min ago	−138	+105Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −120 → −128 since first seen

Stephen Curry's full game log and splits