Stephen Curry
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
56%9 of 16L20 · Without Butler
Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 9 of 16 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 23 of 34 (50 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 10.5 threes made a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 2 of 3 (10 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 25 of 38 (50 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L20Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
3-Pointers Made: 5 in 28 min, Jan 19 (home)
Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIA on record
L20 · Without Butler · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 56%
- 9 of 16
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.2
- 16 games · 31 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 59%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14305 books | — | 16/16 | |
| −4005 books | — | 12/16 | |
| −1756 books | +1262 books | 9/16 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/16 | |
| +1205 books | −1623 books | 5/16 | |
| +2305 books | — | 3/16 | |
| +4005 books | — | 2/16 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −168Best | +126 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −174 | — |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −175 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −175 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −175 | — |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −176 | +132Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: −154 → −175 since first seen


