Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1525 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 3.5 without him: 32 of 53; with him: 33 of 56 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 58 of 97 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 61 of 103 (109 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 17.0 rebounds a game to guards: 8th most of 30
7 games

43%6 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 4, cleared, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 2, missed, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 4, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 1, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 3, missed, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 4, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 2, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 4, cleared, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 2, missed, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 1, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 4, cleared, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 39 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Rebounds: 3 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 3.5

Average: 3.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 6 of 14
Price implies: 60%; at −152
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.7; 14 games · 33.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3641 book	—	8/14
−1525 books	+1144 books	6/14
+1351 book	—	1/14
+2555 books	—	1/14
+5131 book	—	0/14
+10142 books	—	0/14
+15801 book	—	0/14

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−150Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−150Best	+112
BetRivers2 min ago	−152	+112
DraftKings3 min ago	−153	+116
FanDuel2 min ago	−158	+118Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over −166 → −152 since first seen

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits