Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1127 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

7%1 of 14L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 1 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 2, missed, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 4, missed, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 1, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 3, missed, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 4, missed, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 2, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 4, missed, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 2, missed, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 1, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 4, missed, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 39 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 4, missed, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 4.5 without him: 22 of 54; with him: 24 of 55 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 40 of 96 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 43 of 102 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jaylin Williams: Out (back)
Over 4.5 without him: 12 of 23; with him: 34 of 86 (109 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 4.5 cleared in 5 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L20

Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
Jaylin WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Gilgeous-Alexander didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; rebounds the last time Gilgeous-Alexander faced them: 10 (Dec 22, 2025)

Over 4.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Jalen Williams · Over 4.5

Average: 3.1; −1.4 vs line
Median: 3; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 7%; 1 of 14
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.5; 14 games · 33.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20004 books	—	13/14
−5305 books	—	8/14
−2506 books	+1901 book	6/14
−1127 books	−1186 books	1/14
+1856 books	−2001 book	1/14
+3305 books	—	0/14
+5505 books	—	0/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−105Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−105Best	−130
BetRivers1 min ago	−105Best	−130
FanDuel1 min ago	−112	−118
Pinnacle2 min ago	−113	−117
Bovada2 min ago	−125	−105
DraftKings2 min ago	−127	−104Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −114 → −112 since first seen

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits