Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1754 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

64%9 of 14L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 9 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 1, cleared, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 2, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 0, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 1, cleared, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 2, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 1, cleared, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 0, missed, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 1, cleared, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 1, cleared, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 39 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jalen Williams playing; Williams is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 28 of 54.

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 0.5 without him: 28 of 54; with him: 28 of 55 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 47 of 96 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 52 of 102 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jaylin Williams: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 23; with him: 46 of 86 (109 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 6 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
Jaylin WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Gilgeous-Alexander didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; blocks the last time Gilgeous-Alexander faced them: 1 (Dec 22, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 6 of 10 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Jalen Williams · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 64%; 9 of 14
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −160

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −160, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1754 books	+1251 book	9/14
+2604 books	—	3/14
+8701 book	—	0/14
+21001 book	—	0/14

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−170Best	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	−175	—
betPARX1 min ago	−175	+125Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−175	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −170 → −175 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits