Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under42.5

Under 42.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1223 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

64%9 of 14L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Under 42.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 9 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 54, missed, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 41, hit, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 26, hit, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 26, hit, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 36, hit, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 44, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 39, hit, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 43, missed, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 40, hit, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 30, hit, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 43, missed, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 20, hit, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 48, missed, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 41, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 22, hit, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 45, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 32, hit, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 29, hit, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 33, hit, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 54, missed, 39 min

Under hitMissedThe 42.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 24.3–48.3 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Under 42.5 without him: 26 of 53; with him: 30 of 56 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Under 42.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 49 of 97 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Under 42.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 52 of 103 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jaylin Williams: Out (back)
Under 42.5 without him: 8 of 22; with him: 48 of 87 (109 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 42.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 42.5 · L20

Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
Jaylin WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Pts+Reb+Ast: 54 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)

Under 42.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Jalen Williams · Under 42.5

Average: 38.3; −4.2 vs line
Median: 38; −4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 64%; 9 of 14
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −153

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −153, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−16002 books	—	3/14
−4773 books	—	6/14
−1942 books	—	7/14
−1133 books	−1222 books	9/14
+1173 books	—	11/14
+2613 books	—	12/14
+5842 books	—	14/14

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 42.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 42.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 42.5	Under 42.5
DraftKings23 hr ago	−115	−115Best
Pinnacle23 hr ago	−108Best	−122
Bally Bet23 hr ago	−113	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

42.5

41.5 → 42.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.