Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 38.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 38.5 without him: 26 of 53; with him: 25 of 56 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 38.5 without him: 4 of 12; with him: 47 of 97 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 38.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 49 of 103 (109 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (83 games)
Game log against Over 38.5
43%6 of 14L20 · Without Williams
Over 38.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
Splits
Over 38.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 38.5 · L20Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Pts+Ast: 51 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)
Over 38.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 38.5
- Average
- 35.2
- −3.3 vs line
- Median
- 35
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 43%
- 6 of 14
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 34.7
- 14 games · 33.8 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 38.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5791 book | — | 8/14 | |
| −1954 books | — | 7/14 | |
| −1223 books | −1121 book | 7/14 | |
| −1092 books | −1212 books | 6/14 | |
| +1124 books | — | 5/14 | |
| +2304 books | — | 2/14 | |
| +5161 book | — | 2/14 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 38.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 38.5 | Under 38.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −106Best | −125 |
| DraftKings8 min ago | −113 | −117Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
38.5−112 → −109 since first seen


