Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder38.5
Over 38.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1092 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 38.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 38.5 without him: 26 of 53; with him: 25 of 56 (109 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 38.5 without him: 4 of 12; with him: 47 of 97 (109 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 38.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 49 of 103 (109 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (83 games)

Game log against Over 38.5

43%6 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 38.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 50, cleared, 38 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 39, cleared, 38 min
  3. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 24, missed, 35 min
  4. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 24, missed, 28 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 32, missed, 33 min
  6. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 43, cleared, 39 min
  7. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 36, missed, 51 min (not counted)
  8. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 39, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
  9. at SA, 2026-05-22: 38, missed, 36 min
  10. at SA, 2026-05-24: 26, missed, 31 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-26: 41, cleared, 37 min
  12. at SA, 2026-05-28: 19, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-05-30: 44, cleared, 43 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 36, missed, 36 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 20, missed, 35 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 39, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 29, missed, 30 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 23, missed, 28 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 29, missed, 31 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 51, cleared, 39 min
ClearedMissedThe 38.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 38.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 38.5 · L20
  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Pts+Ast: 51 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 38.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 38.5

Average
35.2
−3.3 vs line
Median
35
−3.5 vs line
Hit rate
43%
6 of 14
Price implies
52%
at −109
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Minutes
34.7
14 games · 33.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 38.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−5791 book—8/14
−1954 books—7/14
−1223 books−1121 book7/14
−1092 books−1212 books6/14
+1124 books—5/14
+2304 books—2/14
+5161 book—2/14
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 38.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 38.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 38.5Under 38.5
FanDuel1 min ago−106Best−125
DraftKings8 min ago−113−117Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

38.5

−112 → −109 since first seen

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits