Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1923 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%8 of 14L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 8 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 1, cleared, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 2, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 0, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 1, cleared, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 2, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 1, cleared, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 0, missed, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 1, cleared, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 1, cleared, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 39 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different on Wednesday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jalen Williams playing; Williams is out on Wednesday. Without him: Over 0.5 in 27 of 53.

WedTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 0.5 without him: 27 of 53; with him: 29 of 56 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 12; with him: 48 of 97 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 53 of 103 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jaylin Williams: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 22; with him: 47 of 87 (109 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
Jaylin WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Blocks: 1 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Jalen Williams · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 8 of 14
Price implies: 66%; at −192
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L20
	−1923 books	8/14
	+2703 books	3/14
	+7402 books	0/14
	+19801 book	0/14

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet28 hr ago	−152Best
Bovada28 hr ago	−192
DraftKings28 hr ago	−200

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.