Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #2

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1505 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 2.5 without him: 13 of 53; with him: 11 of 56 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 18 of 97 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 22 of 103 (109 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 7.7 threes made a game to guards: 13th most of 30
7 games

21%3 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 3 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 38 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 38 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 0, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 1, missed, 28 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 3, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 1, missed, 39 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 2, missed, 51 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 0, missed, 38 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 2, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 0, missed, 31 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 2, missed, 37 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 2, missed, 43 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 31 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 39 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

3-Pointers Made: 4 in 39 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 2.5

Average: 1.6; −0.9 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 21%; 3 of 14
Price implies: 40%; at +150
Books’ fair: 37%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.7; 14 games · 33.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 37%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−9105 books	—	12/14
−1955 books	+1471 book	7/14
+1505 books	−2053 books	3/14
+3505 books	—	1/14
+9422 books	—	0/14
+19282 books	—	0/14

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+162Best	−220
Bally Bet5 min ago	+150	—
betPARX5 min ago	+150	−200Best
BetRivers5 min ago	+150	−205
DraftKings5 min ago	+150	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+162 → +150 since first seen

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full game log and splits