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Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1752 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Over 0.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 0, missed
  2. at POR, 2026-04-02: 1, cleared
  3. at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, cleared
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 2, cleared
  5. vs IND, 2026-10-21: 0, missed
  6. at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 0, missed
  7. at DEN, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared
  9. vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 0, missed
  10. vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
1.1
+0.6 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
64%
at −175
Books’ fair
59%
margin removed
Our chance
61%
estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1752 books+1251 book6/10
+2602 books—3/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet25 hr ago−175Best—
betPARX25 hr ago−175Best+125Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+4%
Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.