Saddiq Bey
NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 15.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 15.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 8–29.4 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 15.5
- Average
- 19.3
- +3.8 vs line
- Median
- 18
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −145
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5331 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −1503 books | −1061 book | 7/10 | |
| −1182 books | −1141 book | 7/10 | |
| +2053 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7601 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +19001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 15.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 15.5 | Under 15.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | −118Best | — |
| betPARX25 hr ago | −118Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
15.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.