Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%4 of 8L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 4 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs SA, 2026-03-17: 10, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 12, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 14, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-26: 14, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at ATL, 2026-03-28: 16, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-29: 16, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-04-01: 28, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-04-03: 12, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 8, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at GS, 2026-04-07: 13, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-10: 5, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-12: 27, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 15, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 14, cleared, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 12, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 14 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 24, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 6, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 27 min
vs LAL, 2026-11-04: 7, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.7–22.3 points.

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 4 of 11; with him: 37 of 70 (81 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +16.5 · total 229.5 (9 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 8.5 without him: 25 of 48; with him: 13 of 25 (73 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 43.6 points a game to forwards: 13th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Points: 4 in 14 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against SA on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 8.5

Average: 11; +2.5 vs line
Median: 9.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −102 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4204 books	—	7/8
−2301 book	+1701 book	5/8
−1825 books	+1151 book	4/8
−1107 books	−1206 books	4/8
+1056 books	−1651 book	4/8
+1701 book	−2301 book	4/8
+1904 books	—	4/8

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−102Best	−130
DraftKings4 min ago	−109	−117Best
Bovada4 min ago	−110	−120
FanDuel4 min ago	−110	−120
Bally Bet4 min ago	−115	—
betPARX5 min ago	−115	−118
BetRivers6 min ago	−115	−118
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

14.5 → 8.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits