Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under15.5

Over 15.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1322 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 15.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs SA, 2026-03-17: 17, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 19, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 29, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-26: 23, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at ATL, 2026-03-28: 22, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-29: 24, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-04-01: 47, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-04-03: 19, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 13, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at GS, 2026-04-07: 19, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-10: 11, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-12: 38, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 20, cleared, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 22, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 5, missed, 14 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 33, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 11, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 16, cleared, 27 min
vs LAL, 2026-11-04: 10, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 15.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.8–33 pts+reb.

What's different today

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 15.5 without him: 5 of 11; with him: 39 of 70 (81 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +15.5 · total 229.5 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 15.5 without him: 28 of 48; with him: 14 of 25 (73 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 24.8 min · 2026–27: 27.3 (8 games)

Splits

Over 15.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 15.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Pts+Reb: 5 in 14 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 15.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against SA on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 15.5

Average: 17.1; +1.6 vs line
Median: 18; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−8301 book	—	7/8
−1671 book	—	5/8
−1322 books	−1032 books	5/8
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/8
+1991 book	—	4/8
+6001 book	—	1/8
+16601 book	—	1/8

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−128Best	−103
FanDuel5 min ago	−132	+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

16.5 → 15.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits