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Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1413 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

50%4 of 8L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 4 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

  1. vs SA, 2026-03-17: 1, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
  2. vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  3. vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  4. at ORL, 2026-03-26: 2, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  5. at ATL, 2026-03-28: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
  6. at BKN, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 34 min (not counted)
  7. at TOR, 2026-04-01: 1, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
  8. vs NO, 2026-04-03: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
  9. vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
  10. at GS, 2026-04-07: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  11. vs GS, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
  12. at POR, 2026-04-12: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
  13. at LAC, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 29 min
  14. vs POR, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 26 min
  15. vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 39 min
  16. at SA, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 14 min
  17. at NO, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 41 min
  18. at MEM, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 25 min
  19. at DAL, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 27 min
  20. vs LAL, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 17 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayTeammate out

    Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 11; with him: 36 of 70 (81 games as teammates)

  • TodayGame lines

    SAC +16.5 · total 230.5 (9 sportsbooks): a big spread

    SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)

  • Teammate out

    Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)

    Over 0.5 without him: 29 of 48; with him: 9 of 25 (73 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    SA allow 1.8 blocks a game to forwards: 19th most of 30

    8 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20
  • Darius Acuff Jr.G

  • Zach LaVineG

  • Maxime RaynaudCOut

  • Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Blocks: 0 in 14 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against SA on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 0.5

Average
1.1
+0.6 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
4 of 8
Price implies
59%
at −141
Books’ fair
55%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−1413 books+1051 book4/8
+3103 books—4/8
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet8 min ago−141Best—
betPARX4 min ago−141Best+105Best
BetRivers5 min ago−141Best—

Prices as of 1:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits