Precious Achiuwa
SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
50%4 of 8L20 · Without Raynaud
Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 4 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 11; with him: 36 of 70 (81 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +16.5 · total 229.5 (9 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 29 of 48; with him: 9 of 25 (73 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 1.8 blocks a game to forwards: 19th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L20Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Blocks: 0 in 14 min, Oct 27 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against SA on record
L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1413 books | +1051 book | 4/8 | |
| +3103 books | — | 4/8 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −141Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −141Best | +105Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −141Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: No move since first seen


