Payton PritchardDay-To-Day

Boston Celtics · G · #11

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Points, typical price −1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
MIL allow 63.3 points a game to guards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.6 min · 2025–26: 32.5 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU
Game lines
BOS −11.5 · total 223.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (7 games)

30%3 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 12, missed, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 14, missed, 36 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 13, missed, 39 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 17, cleared, 28 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 30 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 28, cleared, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 30, cleared, 35 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 7, missed, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 3 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFDay-To-Day
Paul GeorgeF
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Points: 16 in 26 min, Apr 3 (away)

Over 16.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 13.3; −3.2 vs line
Median: 12.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.7; 10 games · 32.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2751 book	+2001 book	4/10
−2003 books	+1501 book	3/10
−1501 book	+1151 book	3/10
−1203 books	−1093 books	3/10
+1042 books	−1351 book	2/10
+1351 book	−1801 book	2/10
+1623 books	−2201 book	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−116Best	−109
Bovada2 min ago	−120	−110
FanDueljust now	−130	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−128 → −120 since first seen

Payton Pritchard's full game log and splits