Payton PritchardDay-To-Day

Boston Celtics · G · #11

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under20.5

Under 20.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 27.6 min · 2025–26: 32.5 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU
Game lines
BOS −11.5 · total 223.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (7 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
MIL 6th, BOS 19th of 30

70%7 of 10L10

Under 20.5 Pts+Reb hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 14, hit, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 17, hit, 36 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 18, hit, 39 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 21, missed, 28 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 30 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 29, missed, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 6, hit, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 33, missed, 35 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 14, hit, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 7, hit, 30 min

Under hitMissedThe 20.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5–29.9 pts+reb.

Splits

Under 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Under 20.5 hit in 5 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 20.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFDay-To-Day
Paul GeorgeF
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Pts+Reb: 19 in 26 min, Apr 3 (away)

Under 20.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Under 20.5

Average: 16.4; −4.1 vs line
Median: 15.5; −5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −120 the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1101 book	−1201 book	7/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 20.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 20.5	Under 20.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−110Best	−120Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

−125 → −120 since first seen

Payton Pritchard's full game log and splits