Payton PritchardDay-To-Day

Boston Celtics · G · #11

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
MIL allow 18.0 assists a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.6 min · 2025–26: 32.5 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU
Game lines
BOS −11.5 · total 223.5 (9 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (7 games)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 6, cleared, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 5, cleared, 36 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 7, cleared, 39 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 28 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 30 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 6, cleared, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 35 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 4 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFDay-To-Day
Paul GeorgeF
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Assists: 6 in 26 min, Apr 3 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 4; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.7; 10 games · 32.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−35001 book	—	9/10
−2651 book	—	6/10
−1301 book	−1021 book	4/10
+1501 book	—	3/10
+4601 book	—	0/10
+11001 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−130Best	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over No move since first seen

Payton Pritchard's full game log and splits