Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers · F · #43

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 44 of 65; with him: 14 of 22 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 33 of 51; with him: 25 of 36 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 11; with him: 2 of 3 (14 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MEM allow 3.4 steals a game to forwards: 10th most of 30
7 games

75%12 of 16L20 · Without Haliburton

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 12 of 16 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at TOR, 2026-02-08: 0, missed, 24 min
at NY, 2026-02-10: 3, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 0, missed, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 0, missed, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 2, cleared, 29 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 2, cleared, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 1, cleared, 29 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 1, cleared, 33 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 1, cleared, 31 min
at CHI, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 22 min
at CHA, 2026-04-03: 2, cleared, 34 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 34 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 29 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Andrew NembhardG
Aaron NesmithG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Siakam didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; steals the last time Siakam faced them: 0 (Oct 25, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 12 of 16
Price implies: 69%; at −225
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −176

Research, not a pick. At −194 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −176, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2252 books	+1451 book	12/16
+2252 books	—	6/16
+7002 books	—	1/16
+19601 book	—	0/16

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−194Best	+145Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−225	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Pascal Siakam's full game log and splits