Pascal Siakam
IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PMWhat's different today
Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 11.5 without him: 43 of 65; with him: 15 of 22 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Under 11.5 without him: 34 of 51; with him: 24 of 36 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Under 11.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 2 of 3 (14 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 32.4 min · 2025–26: 33.2 (62 games)
Game log against Under 11.5
88%14 of 16L20 · Without Haliburton
Under 11.5 Reb+Ast hit in 14 of 16 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.7–15.2 reb+ast.
Splits
Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MEM in his last 20; Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 11.5 · L20Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Andrew NembhardG
Aaron NesmithG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MEM
Siakam didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; reb+ast the last time Siakam faced them: 12 (Oct 25, 2025)
Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record
L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 11.5
- Average
- 9.5
- −2 vs line
- Median
- 9
- −2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 88%
- 14 of 16
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1022 books | −1362 books | 14/16 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +102Best | −135Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +102Best | −136 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5−128 → −136 since first seen


