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Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers · F · #43

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder11.5
Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1362 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayTeammate out

    Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)

    Under 11.5 without him: 43 of 65; with him: 15 of 22 (87 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Obi Toppin: Out (back)

    Under 11.5 without him: 34 of 51; with him: 24 of 36 (87 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)

    Under 11.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 2 of 3 (14 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32.4 min · 2025–26: 33.2 (62 games)

Game log against Under 11.5

88%14 of 16L20 · Without Haliburton

Under 11.5 Reb+Ast hit in 14 of 16 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

  1. at TOR, 2026-02-08: 6, hit, 24 min
  2. at NY, 2026-02-10: 10, hit, 37 min
  3. vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 11, hit, 29 min
  4. at LAC, 2026-03-04: 6, hit, 30 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-03-06: 8, hit, 29 min
  6. at POR, 2026-03-08: 11, hit, 32 min
  7. at SA, 2026-03-21: 7, hit, 29 min
  8. at ORL, 2026-03-23: 7, hit, 34 min
  9. vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 9, hit, 30 min
  10. vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 9, hit, 33 min
  11. vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 17, missed, 31 min
  12. at CHI, 2026-04-01: 9, hit, 22 min
  13. at CHA, 2026-04-03: 9, hit, 34 min
  14. at NO, 2026-10-21: 9, hit, 35 min (not counted)
  15. vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 6, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  16. at BKN, 2026-10-25: 13, missed, 26 min (not counted)
  17. at MIL, 2026-10-26: 19, missed, 37 min (not counted)
  18. vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 34 min
  19. at MIA, 2026-10-30: 9, hit, 29 min
  20. vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 10, hit, 36 min
Under hitMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.7–15.2 reb+ast.

Splits

Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 11.5 · L20
  • Tyrese HaliburtonGOut

  • Andrew NembhardG

  • Aaron NesmithG

  • Obi ToppinFOut

  • Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Siakam didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; reb+ast the last time Siakam faced them: 12 (Oct 25, 2025)

Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 11.5

Average
9.5
−2 vs line
Median
9
−2.5 vs line
Hit rate
88%
14 of 16
Price implies
58%
at −136
Books’ fair
54%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −151

Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1022 books−1362 books14/16
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 11.5Under 11.5
DraftKings7 min ago+102Best−135Best
FanDuel2 min ago+102Best−136
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−128 → −136 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Pascal Siakam's full game log and splits