Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers · F · #43

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1461 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his last 4 came with Tyrese Haliburton playing; Haliburton is out today. Without him: Under 1.5 in 34 of 65.

TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 1.5 without him: 34 of 65; with him: 11 of 22 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Under 1.5 without him: 26 of 51; with him: 19 of 36 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Under 1.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 1 of 3 (14 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MEM allow 4.7 threes made a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
7 games

69%11 of 16L20 · Without Haliburton

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 11 of 16 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at TOR, 2026-02-08: 1, hit, 24 min
at NY, 2026-02-10: 3, missed, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 2, missed, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 1, hit, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 0, hit, 29 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 0, hit, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 0, hit, 29 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 2, missed, 34 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 1, hit, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 0, hit, 33 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 3, missed, 31 min
at CHI, 2026-04-01: 1, hit, 22 min
at CHA, 2026-04-03: 2, missed, 34 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 35 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 37 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 34 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 29 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Andrew NembhardG
Aaron NesmithG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Siakam didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Siakam faced them: 2 (Oct 25, 2025)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 1.5

Average: 1; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 69%; 11 of 16
Price implies: 59%; at −146
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −166

Research, not a pick. At −146 the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4601 book	—	7/16
+1101 book	−1461 book	11/16
+3501 book	—	14/16
+10001 book	—	16/16

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+110Best	−146Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under −144 → −146 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Pascal Siakam's full game log and splits