Oso Ighodaro
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Over 11.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 5.7–22.1 pts+reb.
What's different yesterday
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 11.5 without him: 18 of 29; with him: 26 of 60 (89 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 11.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 36 of 74 (89 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 22.5 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS
Splits
Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 11.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Pts+Reb: 11 in 15 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 12.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 13
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −28001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2082 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1801 book | +1351 book | 7/10 | |
| −1093 books | −1202 books | 5/10 | |
| +1001 book | −1301 book | 5/10 | |
| +2202 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +8301 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −108Best | — |
| DraftKings20 hr ago | −109 | −120 |
| Bovada20 hr ago | −135 | +105Best |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.510.5 → 11.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


