Oso Ighodaro

Phoenix Suns · F · #11

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1614 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-08: 1, missed, 18 min
at LAL, 2026-04-10: 10, cleared, 21 min
at OKC, 2026-04-12: 6, cleared, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-04-19: 9, cleared, 26 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 8, cleared, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 3, missed, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 8, cleared, 34 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 15 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1.9–9.9 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 20 of 29; with him: 29 of 60 (89 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 4.5 without him: 7 of 15; with him: 42 of 74 (89 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
POR allow 19.7 rebounds a game to forwards: 12th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 22.5 (86 games)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Rebounds: 3 in 15 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 7; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −161
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −139 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	9/10
−9004 books	—	8/10
−3252 books	—	6/10
−1614 books	+1251 book	6/10
+1163 books	−1532 books	6/10
+2084 books	−2801 book	5/10
+3562 books	—	5/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet23 hr ago	−139Best	—
BetRivers23 hr ago	−139Best	—
DraftKings23 hr ago	−161	—
Bovada23 hr ago	−165	+125Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −114 → −161 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Oso Ighodaro's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.