Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · #7

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder21.5
Under 21.5 Points, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    WSH allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30

    7 games

  • Teammate out

    Jock Landale: Out (hip)

    Under 21.5 without him: 10 of 13; with him: 16 of 29 (42 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 30.4 min · 2026–27: 30.1 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at IND

    3rd straight road game

Game log against Under 21.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 21.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. at NY, 2026-04-28: 16, hit, 34 min
  2. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 11, hit, 29 min
  3. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 31, missed, 30 min
  4. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 14, hit, 27 min
  5. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 18, hit, 32 min
  6. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 12, hit, 29 min
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 23, missed, 32 min
  8. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 25, missed, 31 min
  9. at NO, 2026-10-31: 12, hit, 29 min
  10. at IND, 2026-11-02: 34, missed, 31 min
Under hitMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 9.6–28.3 points.

Splits

Under 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 21.5 hit in 5 of 5 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 21.5 · L10

  • Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day

  • CJ McCollumG

  • Aaron WigginsG

  • Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Alexander-Walker didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; points the last time Alexander-Walker faced them: 16 (Feb 24)

Under 21.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 21.5

Average
19.6
−1.9 vs line
Median
17
−4.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6202 books—4/10
−2771 book—5/10
−1792 books—6/10
−1123 books−1183 books6/10
+1452 books—7/10
+3602 books—8/10
+8702 books—10/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 21.5Under 21.5
DraftKings3 min ago−121−105Best
FanDuel3 min ago−112−118
Pinnacle3 min ago−110Best−118
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's full game log and splits