Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Wed, Nov 4 9:30 PM

Over Under18.5

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1093 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs GS, 2026-03-23: 29, cleared, 35 min
at DEN, 2026-03-25: 29, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-27: 25, cleared, 33 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 15, missed, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 26, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-07: 8, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 24, cleared, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 25, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 19, cleared, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 14, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 7 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Marshall missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 18.5 in 0 of 1.

YesterdayBack from an absence
Yesterday's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)
Over 18.5 since: 0 of 1
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 18.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 48 of 73 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 18.5 without him: 48 of 71; with him: 5 of 7 (78 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 61.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 23rd most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 18.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Pts+Reb+Ast: 19 in 21 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 18.5 hit in 5 of 11 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average: 21.4; +2.9 vs line
Median: 24.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.1; 10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2933 books	—	8/10
−1901 book	+1451 book	7/10
−1501 book	+1151 book	7/10
−1093 books	−1212 books	7/10
+1163 books	−1351 book	6/10
+1301 book	−1701 book	6/10
+3383 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
Bally Bet9 hr ago	−105Best	—
DraftKings9 hr ago	−109	−121
Bovada9 hr ago	−120	−110Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

17.5 → 18.5 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:43 PM ET.