Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets · F · #14

CHA @ BKN · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1632 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs DET, 2026-04-10: 2, cleared, 25 min
at NY, 2026-04-12: 3, cleared, 26 min
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 35 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 35 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 31 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 24 of 42; with him: 22 of 32 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BKN allow 6.6 assists a game to forwards: 25th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2026–27: 28.8 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs DET

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelG
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Assists: 2 in 34 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against BKN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −163
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1632 books	+1231 book	8/10
+1802 books	—	3/10
+4302 books	—	0/10
+9502 books	—	0/10
+23001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet14 hr ago	−162Best	—
DraftKings14 hr ago	−163	+123Best

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −192 → −163 since first seen

Moussa Diabate's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.