Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets · F · #14

Under 9.5 Rebounds, typical price −1303 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Under 9.5 in 7 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 9.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 42 of 72 (81 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 9.5 without him: 28 of 42; with him: 16 of 32 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BKN allow 15.9 rebounds a game to forwards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2026–27: 28.8 (8 games)

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 9.5 Rebounds hit in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs ORL, 2026-03-19: 5, hit, 24 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 14, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 11, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 5, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 11, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 6, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 12, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 10, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 9, hit, 24 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 5, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 6, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 9, hit, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 8, hit, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 8, hit, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 5, hit, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 17, missed, 35 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 9, hit, 35 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 12, missed, 31 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 8, hit, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 9, hit, 24 min

Under hitMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.3–13.4 rebounds.

Splits

Under 9.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 9.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Rebounds: 8 in 34 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 9.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 9.5

Average: 9.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 8.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −127 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4591 book	—	1/8
−2642 books	—	1/8
−1651 book	—	4/8
−1023 books	−1303 books	6/8
+1461 book	—	6/8
+2202 books	—	6/8
+3291 book	—	7/8

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−104	−127Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−102	−130
Pinnacle10 min ago	−101Best	−131
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

Under: No move since first seen

Moussa Diabate's full game log and splits