Miles Bridges

Phoenix Suns · F · #22

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2303 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 34 min
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 32 min
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 23 min
at NY, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 24 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 32 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHX; before that, CHA
Over 0.5 with PHX: 6 of 6; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Defense vs forwards
ORL allow 3.1 steals a game to forwards: 17th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 9 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Bridges didn't play the Mar 31 meeting; steals the last time Bridges faced them: 0 (Mar 19)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against ORL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −230
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −230 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2303 books	+1651 book	6/10
+1903 books	—	2/10
+5503 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−230Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−230Best	+165Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−230Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:16 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Miles Bridges's full game log and splits