Miles Bridges
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 5 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
New team
6 games with PHX; before that, CHA
Over 1.5 with PHX: 5 of 6; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 9 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Bridges didn't play the Mar 31 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Bridges faced them: 1 (Mar 19)
Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −180
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −168 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9105 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1806 books | +1325 books | 6/10 | |
| +1605 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3805 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7505 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +22002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −168Best | +126 |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −174 | +132 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −174 | +130 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −180 | +133Best |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −182 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −182 | +132 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −178 → −180 since first seen


