Michael Porter Jr.

Brooklyn Nets · F · #17

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1903 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Egor Demin: Out (leg)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 12; with him: 36 of 47 (59 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CHA allow 6.5 assists a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32 min · 2025–26: 32.5 (52 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at NY

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

at MIA, 2026-03-05: 3, cleared, 36 min
at DET, 2026-03-07: 1, missed, 39 min
vs DET, 2026-03-10: 1, missed, 22 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 34 min
at CLE, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 21 min
at BOS, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 40 min
vs DET, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 26 min
at IND, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 36 min
at NY, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Julius RandleF
Mikel Brown Jr.G
Nolan TraoreG
Egor DeminGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

Assists: 1 in 34 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −190
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14001 book	—	9/10
−1903 books	+1433 books	4/10
+1502 books	−2001 book	2/10
+4012 books	—	0/10
+8002 books	—	0/10
+19602 books	—	0/10
+30001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−188Best	+140
Bovada3 min ago	−190	+145Best
DraftKings4 min ago	−190	+143
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No move since first seen

Michael Porter Jr.'s full game log and splits