Michael Porter Jr.

Brooklyn Nets · F · #17

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1584 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Egor Demin: Out (leg)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 31 of 47 (59 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CHA allow 5.5 threes made a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32 min · 2025–26: 32.5 (52 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at NY

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at MIA, 2026-03-05: 7, cleared, 36 min
at DET, 2026-03-07: 3, cleared, 39 min
vs DET, 2026-03-10: 1, missed, 22 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 34 min
at CLE, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 21 min
at BOS, 2026-10-27: 6, cleared, 40 min
vs DET, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 26 min
at IND, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 36 min
at NY, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Julius RandleF
Mikel Brown Jr.G
Nolan TraoreG
Egor DeminGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

3-Pointers Made: 5 in 34 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.5; +1 vs line
Median: 3.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −158
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−45002 books	—	9/10
−5003 books	—	8/10
−1584 books	+1184 books	7/10
+1553 books	−2101 book	5/10
+3323 books	—	3/10
+6903 books	—	2/10
+14003 books	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−157Best	+119
FanDuel1 min ago	−158	+118
Pinnacle2 min ago	−158	+118
Bovada2 min ago	−160	+120Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −145 → −158 since first seen

Michael Porter Jr.'s full game log and splits