Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Marcus Smart

Houston Rockets · G · #36

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Rebounds, typical price +1032 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayDefense vs guards

    MIN allow 19.8 rebounds a game to guards: 2nd most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Steven Adams: Out (calf)

    Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 1 of 1 (5 games as teammates)

  • New team

    5 games with HOU; before that, LAL

    Over 2.5 with HOU: 3 of 5; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10

  • Back from an absence

    Today's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 24 – Oct 28)

    Over 2.5 since: 2 of 3

Game log against Over 2.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. at HOU, 2026-05-01: 7, cleared, 35 min
  2. at OKC, 2026-05-05: 4, cleared, 32 min
  3. at OKC, 2026-05-07: 4, cleared, 34 min
  4. vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 3, cleared, 32 min
  5. vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 2, missed, 36 min
  6. vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 26 min
  7. at SA, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 21 min
  8. at DAL, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 17 min
  9. vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 36 min
  10. vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 20 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10
  • Kevin DurantF

  • Alperen SengunC

  • Amen ThompsonG

  • Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Smart didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; rebounds the last time Smart faced them: 2 (Mar 10)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
3.6
+1.1 vs line
Median
3.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
49%
at +103
Books’ fair
46%
margin removed
Minutes
28.9
10 games · 29.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1032 books−1381 book7/10
+2382 books—5/10
+5031 book—2/10
+10002 books—1/10
+18601 book—1/10
+28001 book—0/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel2 min ago+104Best−138Best
DraftKings4 min ago+103—

Prices as of 2:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +100 → +103 since first seen

Marcus Smart's full game log and splits