Marcus Smart
MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
MIN allow 19.8 rebounds a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 1 of 1 (5 games as teammates)
New team
5 games with HOU; before that, LAL
Over 2.5 with HOU: 3 of 5; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Back from an absence
Today's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 24 – Oct 28)
Over 2.5 since: 2 of 3
Game log against Over 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Smart didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; rebounds the last time Smart faced them: 2 (Mar 10)
Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +103
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.9
- 10 games · 29.4 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1032 books | −1381 book | 7/10 | |
| +2382 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +5031 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +10002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +18601 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +28001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | +104Best | −138Best |
| DraftKings4 min ago | +103 | — |
Prices as of 2:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over +100 → +103 since first seen


