LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1221 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-07: 3, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 1, missed, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 1, missed, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 31 min
at DET, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals+blocks.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 1.5 with PHI: 6 of 7; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Steals+Blocks: 4 in 33 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −122 the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1221 book	−1081 book	7/10
+2451 book	—	3/10
+6501 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings15 min ago	−122Best	−108Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −141 → −122 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

LeBron James's full game log and splits