LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ CLE · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under29.5

Over 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-07: 31, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 33, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 39, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 30, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 32, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 25, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 28, missed, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 37, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 31, cleared, 31 min
at DET, 2026-11-04: 31, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 29.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tomorrow's game: a typical game lands 22.6–42.5 pts+reb+ast.

What's different tomorrow

Over 29.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TomorrowDefense vs forwards
CLE allow 53.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: the fewest of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 29.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 29.5 with PHI: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)

Splits

Over 29.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 29.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Pts+Reb+Ast: 32 in 33 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 29.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 29.5

Average: 31.7; +2.2 vs line
Median: 31; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1141 book	−1141 book	8/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 29.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 29.5	Under 29.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

29.5

Over: −120 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

LeBron James's full game log and splits