LeBron James
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 11.3–26.6 points.
What's different today
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
CLE allow 32.6 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 16.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 16.5 with PHI: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 16.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Points: 17 in 33 min, Oct 22 (home)
Over 16.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 17.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 17.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −141
Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −141, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2253 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2152 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1363 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1186 books | −1085 books | 6/10 | |
| +1174 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1755 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2753 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −109Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | −118 | −108 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −128 | −104Best |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −128 | −104Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:33 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5Over: −122 → −118 since first seen