LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ CLE · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Assists, typical price −1401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-07: 6, missed, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 8, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 3, missed, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 5, missed, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 5, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 10, cleared, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 31 min
at DET, 2026-11-04: 8, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tomorrow's game: a typical game lands 4–11 assists.

What's different tomorrow

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 6.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 6.5 with PHI: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs forwards
CLE allow 7.6 assists a game to forwards: 17th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Assists: 5 in 33 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 6.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average: 6.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 7.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −140
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −140 the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18001 book	—	9/10
−2651 book	—	7/10
−1401 book	+1061 book	6/10
+1361 book	—	5/10
+3401 book	—	1/10
+10001 book	—	0/10
+22001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−140Best	+106Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Over: +108 → −140 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

LeBron James's full game log and splits