LaMelo Ball

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · #1

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1157 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 2 of 4 (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with MIN; before that, CHA
Over 3.5 with MIN: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs guards
HOU allow 7.9 threes made a game to guards: 12th most of 30
8 games

50%2 of 4L20 · Without Edwards

Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 2 of 4 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 7, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 6, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 4, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 5, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 3, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 3, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-04-03: 5, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 7, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 6, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 6, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 5, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 17 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 28 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared, 29 min
at SA, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
Jaden McDanielsF
Ayo DosunmuG
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs HOU

Ball didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Ball faced them: 1 (Feb 19)

Over 3.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against HOU on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Over 3.5

Average: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 2 of 4
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 27.5; 4 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−9106 books	—	3/4
−2796 books	—	2/4
−1157 books	−1156 books	2/4
+1756 books	−2301 book	2/4
+3306 books	—	2/4
+5756 books	—	0/4
+12003 books	—	0/4

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Pinnacle13 min ago	−108Best	−123
Bally Bet13 min ago	−115	—
betPARX6 min ago	−115	−115
BetRivers6 min ago	−115	−117
FanDuel9 min ago	−118	−112
DraftKings13 min ago	−129	−102
Bovada13 min ago	−130	+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: No move since first seen

LaMelo Ball's full game log and splits